prediection markets

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prediection markets

最近更新：04月30日18:30
12篇文章

Are Prediction Markets a Money Machine? Deep Dive into Their Profit Models

The core of prediction markets is transforming disagreement into fee revenue, rather than simply chasing trading volume.

2026-05-21 22:30
Are Prediction Markets a Money Machine? Deep Dive into Their Profit Models

Before the Tech IPO Surge, Polymarket Prepares to Make a Comeback

Polymarket partners with Nasdaq, leveraging private data to launch prediction contracts in the quest for market governance rights.

2026-05-20 18:32
Before the Tech IPO Surge, Polymarket Prepares to Make a Comeback

POLY's arrival looms ever closer—how far off is the Polymarket airdrop?

Polymarket official hints at token launch, community analyzes airdrop timing and scale, expecting release by year-end.

2026-05-19 22:51
POLY's arrival looms ever closer—how far off is the Polymarket airdrop?

Distribution is King: Robinhood Is Eating the Prediction Market

In a previous article, we explored how HIP-4 brings structured products to Hyperliquid. Robinhood has taken a similar approach by recently entering the prediction market space, as outlined in the table below. Fidelity, Schwab, and Interactive Brokers grew up in an era when prediction markets did not exist. Even spot cryptocurrency represents only a minor fraction of their overall product offerings. In contrast, Robinhood

2026-05-12 17:51
Distribution is King: Robinhood Is Eating the Prediction Market

How Hyperliquid Rewrites Prediction Markets via HIP-4?

Hyperliquid launches HIP-4, integrating prediction markets into its trading system with shared margin support for perpetual contracts, aiming to create novel trading scenarios rather than replicating existing platforms.

2026-05-11 21:43
How Hyperliquid Rewrites Prediction Markets via HIP-4?

Polymarket Team Reignites Token Launch Hopes—Is It Another Case of PUA?

Polymarket official members hint that the POLY token will be launched shortly, sparking discussions around staking fee reductions and the platform's economic model; however, prediction markets indicate a low probability of an imminent launch, leaving the exact timing uncertain.

2026-05-06 09:11
Polymarket Team Reignites Token Launch Hopes—Is It Another Case of PUA?

Polymarket PnL Accuracy: Why Your Profit and Loss Calculation Might Be Wrong?

The Polymarket API has multiple pitfalls in profit and loss calculation, such as cashPnl excluding settled profits, incorrect makerPnl logic, duplicate txHash handling errors, and offset pagination limitations. The most reliable method remains the cash flow approach.

2026-05-02 12:06
Polymarket PnL Accuracy: Why Your Profit and Loss Calculation Might Be Wrong?

$50 Million Incentive: They’re Publicly Charging for Attack Services on Polymarket

A Polymarket event on extended ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran triggered massive bets due to rule disputes; after an official statement, the "No" side gained advantage, but "Yes" side bettors, including Pedro, attempted a reversal via token mobilization and oracle voting, raising potential manipulation concerns.

2026-05-01 09:03
$50 Million Incentive: They’re Publicly Charging for Attack Services on Polymarket

Prediction markets surge toward perpetual contracts—anyone playing?

Prediction market platforms are emulating crypto exchanges by launching perpetual contracts to address user retention issues and boost revenue. However, they face multiple challenges including technological constraints, limited user base, and intense competition, requiring the establishment of a unified risk engine and institutional collaborations to succeed.

2026-04-30 18:37
Prediction markets surge toward perpetual contracts—anyone playing?

Prediction Markets Cracked Down — Is This the End?

U.S. prediction markets face multi-state regulatory resistance due to expansion, labeled as unlicensed online gambling, triggering conflicts between federal and state-level regulations, posing significant compliance challenges for the industry.

2026-04-28 15:50
Prediction Markets Cracked Down — Is This the End?