prediection markets

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prediection markets

最近更新：04月30日18:30
19篇文章

The World Cup prediction battle is on — how are major exchanges vying for this surge in event-driven traffic?

Major exchanges have launched World Cup prediction events, with total prize pools exceeding one million USD.

2026-06-10 11:09
The World Cup prediction battle is on — how are major exchanges vying for this surge in event-driven traffic?

: Why Are Prediction Markets Important?

Prediction markets aggregate information through trading, quantifying the probability of events with real-time incentive advantages, yet face challenges such as insider trading.

2026-06-01 16:34
: Why Are Prediction Markets Important?

Novel Information Money Laundering in Prediction Markets: How Secrets Integrate into Investment Signals

In late February 2026, four anonymous wallets appeared on the Polymarket platform. Created just days prior, these wallets exhibited apparent confidence. Over the following weeks, they placed over 80 bets concerning specific mechanisms of a U.S.-Iran war, the timing of the first strike, the ousting of Iran’s Supreme Leader, and the announcement of a ceasefire. When Bubblemaps eventually mapped the cluster of these bets and linked the initial four wallets to an additional five wallets, it revealed that the nine interconnected accounts collectively won in excess of

2026-05-25 18:37
Novel Information Money Laundering in Prediction Markets: How Secrets Integrate into Investment Signals

Are Prediction Markets a Money Machine? Deep Dive into Their Profit Models

The core of prediction markets is transforming disagreement into fee revenue, rather than simply chasing trading volume.

2026-05-21 22:30
Are Prediction Markets a Money Machine? Deep Dive into Their Profit Models

Before the Tech IPO Surge, Polymarket Prepares to Make a Comeback

Polymarket partners with Nasdaq, leveraging private data to launch prediction contracts in the quest for market governance rights.

2026-05-20 18:32
Before the Tech IPO Surge, Polymarket Prepares to Make a Comeback

POLY's arrival looms ever closer—how far off is the Polymarket airdrop?

Polymarket official hints at token launch, community analyzes airdrop timing and scale, expecting release by year-end.

2026-05-19 22:51
POLY's arrival looms ever closer—how far off is the Polymarket airdrop?

Distribution is King: Robinhood Is Eating the Prediction Market

In a previous article, we explored how HIP-4 brings structured products to Hyperliquid. Robinhood has taken a similar approach by recently entering the prediction market space, as outlined in the table below. Fidelity, Schwab, and Interactive Brokers grew up in an era when prediction markets did not exist. Even spot cryptocurrency represents only a minor fraction of their overall product offerings. In contrast, Robinhood

2026-05-12 17:51
Distribution is King: Robinhood Is Eating the Prediction Market

How Hyperliquid Rewrites Prediction Markets via HIP-4?

Hyperliquid launches HIP-4, integrating prediction markets into its trading system with shared margin support for perpetual contracts, aiming to create novel trading scenarios rather than replicating existing platforms.

2026-05-11 21:43
How Hyperliquid Rewrites Prediction Markets via HIP-4?

Polymarket Team Reignites Token Launch Hopes—Is It Another Case of PUA?

Polymarket official members hint that the POLY token will be launched shortly, sparking discussions around staking fee reductions and the platform's economic model; however, prediction markets indicate a low probability of an imminent launch, leaving the exact timing uncertain.

2026-05-06 09:11
Polymarket Team Reignites Token Launch Hopes—Is It Another Case of PUA?

Polymarket PnL Accuracy: Why Your Profit and Loss Calculation Might Be Wrong?

The Polymarket API has multiple pitfalls in profit and loss calculation, such as cashPnl excluding settled profits, incorrect makerPnl logic, duplicate txHash handling errors, and offset pagination limitations. The most reliable method remains the cash flow approach.

2026-05-02 12:06
Polymarket PnL Accuracy: Why Your Profit and Loss Calculation Might Be Wrong?