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New account invests $50,000 to predict: "The top four AI applications will not be today's Top 1 on the US App Store"

New account invests $50,000 to predict: "The top four AI applications will not be today's Top 1 on the US App Store"

2026-03-08 10:40

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As monitored by PolyBeats, a new account on the prediction market Polymarket has invested $50k to buy "ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, or Google Gemini drops from the top of the US iOS App Store Free Apps chart before March 8," with an entry price of 50¢ and a probability of 45%.

According to settlement rules, if any of ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, or Google Gemini falls out of the #1 position on the US iOS App Store Free Apps chart before 23:59 ET on March 8, this market settles as "Yes." If any of the four apps occupies the top spot, it settles as "No."

Over the past two weeks, the top spot on the US App Store Free Charts has been largely dominated by these AI-powered applications. Previously, ChatGPT held the #1 position for an extended period, but in late February to early March, amid the OpenAI military contract controversy and subsequent user churn, Claude experienced a surge in downloads and successfully claimed the top spot on the US Free Charts. The current leadership remains contested among these top-tier AI apps.

Account:
0xd44e1d167666040a39a8eb58b6676ab027463212

Total Position: $50k

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New account invests $50,000 to predict: "The top four AI applications will not be today's Top 1 on the US App Store"
#Predictive Markets#Grok

Disclaimer: Contains third-party opinions, does not constitute financial advice

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