New account invests $50,000 to predict: "The top four AI applications will not be today's Top 1 on the US App Store"

New account invests $50,000 to predict: "The top four AI applications will not be today's Top 1 on the US App Store"

2026-03-08 10:40View Original

As monitored by PolyBeats, a new account on the prediction market Polymarket has invested $50k to buy "ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, or Google Gemini drops from the top of the US iOS App Store Free Apps chart before March 8," with an entry price of 50¢ and a probability of 45%.

According to settlement rules, if any of ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, or Google Gemini falls out of the #1 position on the US iOS App Store Free Apps chart before 23:59 ET on March 8, this market settles as "Yes." If any of the four apps occupies the top spot, it settles as "No."

Over the past two weeks, the top spot on the US App Store Free Charts has been largely dominated by these AI-powered applications. Previously, ChatGPT held the #1 position for an extended period, but in late February to early March, amid the OpenAI military contract controversy and subsequent user churn, Claude experienced a surge in downloads and successfully claimed the top spot on the US Free Charts. The current leadership remains contested among these top-tier AI apps.

Account:
0xd44e1d167666040a39a8eb58b6676ab027463212

Total Position: $50k

Get ahead of the future. Follow @PolyBeats_Bot
See tomorrow, today. Follow @PolyBeatsEN

New account invests $50,000 to predict: "The top four AI applications will not be today's Top 1 on the US App Store"
# prediction market #Grok

Disclaimer: Contains third-party opinions, does not constitute financial advice

Recommended Reading

Polymarket will launch the "Taker Fee Rebate Program" next week, with up to 50% of taker fees refunded.

05-22
Polymarket will launch the "Taker Fee Rebate Program" next week, with up to 50% of taker fees refunded.

Kalshi: Whoever Controls the Traffic, Controls the Market

03-26
Kalshi: Whoever Controls the Traffic, Controls the Market

5 smart money accounts have collectively invested $65,400, betting that U.S. military forces will enter Iran before May

03-25
5 smart money accounts have collectively invested $65,400, betting that U.S. military forces will enter Iran before May

The world's largest sovereign fund has half of its staff using Claude for programming—next step: letting AI autonomously make investment decisions

03-25
The world's largest sovereign fund has half of its staff using Claude for programming—next step: letting AI autonomously make investment decisions

Backpack Clarifies: Polymarket Users Attempting to Manipulate Token Prices Are Not Internal Team Members of Backpack

03-25
Backpack Clarifies: Polymarket Users Attempting to Manipulate Token Prices Are Not Internal Team Members of Backpack

Probability of gold reaching $3,400 per ounce before end-June rises to 23.1%

03-23
Probability of gold reaching $3,400 per ounce before end-June rises to 23.1%

Joe Tsai: The ultimate goal of AI development is not merely advancing cutting-edge models, but driving widespread adoption of AI applications

03-22
Joe Tsai: The ultimate goal of AI development is not merely advancing cutting-edge models, but driving widespread adoption of AI applications