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Analysis: S&P 500 futures liquidity is 61% below its historical average; trades of several million dollars can drive index volatility

Analysis: S&P 500 futures liquidity is 61% below its historical average; trades of several million dollars can drive index volatility

2026-03-15 09:16

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ChainThink report, March 15: According to The Kobeissi Letter, amid the Iran conflict backdrop, S&P 500 futures liquidity has rapidly declined to $5.1 million, approaching the lowest level since the "Liberation Day" in April 2025, a 61% drop from the historical average (~$13 million). Goldman Sachs data indicates that liquidity below $7 million serves as a market stress signal.


Analysis points out that low liquidity means multi-million-dollar orders can trigger a one-tick move in the S&P 500, akin to the market turbulence triggered by the 2025 tariff announcements, amplifying institutional trading impact—investors must remain vigilant against extreme volatility.

Analysis: S&P 500 futures liquidity is 61% below its historical average; trades of several million dollars can drive index volatility

Disclaimer: Contains third-party opinions, does not constitute financial advice

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