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2026-03-16 11:06
View OriginalChainThink 消息,3 月 16 日,据加密分析师 Murphy,从 3 月 20 日到期的 GEX(伽玛风险敞口)来看,$74,000 附近存在约 1.8 亿美元的 Gamma 敞口,且为 Long Gamma 结构。在该环境下,做市商的对冲行为通常会抑制波动,使价格更容易围绕该行权价附近震荡,也就客观上在$74,000 附近产生了阻力。然而等 3 月 20 日过后,到下一个主要行权日 3 月 27 日时,期权结构出现了明显变化。Call OI 明显高于 Put,说明市场有大量资金正在押注 BTC 会朝着 75,000 美元的方向上涨。
Murphy 认为,3 月 20 日行权日之后,BTC 的期权结构会让 75,000 美元成为新的焦点,从之前的「抑制波动」转向「放大波动」,同时在向上靠近 80,000 美元时产生阻力,以及向下进入 65,000-67,000 美元区间产生支撑。
Disclaimer: Contains third-party opinions, does not constitute financial advice







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