According to PolyBeats monitoring, Polymarket has launched a new market titled "Will Neymar participate in the 2026 World Cup?" with the current probability of "yes" at 37%.

Neymar, aged 34, has been plagued by injuries. His performance was underwhelming in the league match against Corinthians on March 15, and on March 16, Brazil national team head coach Ancelotti excluded him from the pre-World Cup friendly squad. This marks the final major evaluation window before the World Cup, and Neymar’s absence signals a lack of confidence in his physical availability. With little time remaining before the May deadline for finalizing the World Cup roster, Ancelotti has repeatedly stated publicly: if Neymar is 100% fit, he will be included in the tournament squad.