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The probability of the Bank of Japan holding interest rates steady in June reaches 59%.

The probability of the Bank of Japan holding interest rates steady in June reaches 59%.

2026-03-20 19:04

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As monitored by PolyBeats, a new prediction market on Bank of Japan's June Interest Rate Decision has been launched on Polymarket. Currently, no valid probabilities are available.

At the recently concluded March 19 monetary policy meeting, the Bank of Japan maintained its policy rate at 0.75% with an 8-to-1 vote. This marks the second consecutive meeting where the BOJ has paused rate hikes following the rate increase at year-end last year. In its statement, the BOJ noted that the Japanese economy is experiencing a modest recovery, but recent escalation in Middle East tensions and a sharp rise in crude oil prices have introduced heightened uncertainty into economic outlooks.

With core inflationary pressures still present—evidenced by a policymaker’s proposal to raise rates to 1.0% during the March meeting—some financial institutions and macro analysts, including U.S. Bank, still anticipate that the Bank of Japan may resume rate hikes in June after assessing wage and price data.
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The probability of the Bank of Japan holding interest rates steady in June reaches 59%.
#Predictive Markets

Disclaimer: Contains third-party opinions, does not constitute financial advice

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