ChainThink 消息,6 月 21 日,据期权市场数据,价值约 130 亿美元的比特币期权将于 6 月 26 日到期,当前持仓结构明显偏向空头,多头在 6 月或继续承压。
比特币本月迄今已下跌约 14%,多数看涨期权集中在 6.8 万美元及以上价位。Deribit 平台持有 104 亿美元未平仓量,占市场份额 79%。
其中 60 亿美元看涨期权未平仓量中,78% 集中于 7.2 万美元以上;45 亿美元看跌期权中,仅 28% 押注比特币跌破 5.7 万美元,整体来看空头结构更稳健。
按当前价格走势测算,6 月 26 日到期时四种情景均对空头有利,净优势区间在 10 亿至 34 亿美元之间。
即便比特币自当前约 6.3 万美元水平反弹 12%,本次到期结果仍难以转向多头获益。
此前多头情绪一度受到 Strategy 在 4 月至 5 月买入约 62,841 枚比特币并推动价格突破 7.3 万美元提振,但随后美国比特币现货 ETF 持续净流出,市场情绪转弱。
Disclaimer: Contains third-party opinions, does not constitute financial advice
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