Michael Saylor：比特币未来十年最大演进是协议层保持稳定，在资本市场和应用层扩展

2026-07-05 16:48

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ChainThink 消息，7 月 5 日，据 Michael Saylor 在 X 平台发文表示，比特币未来十年最大的演进将不是协议层频繁变化，而是基础协议保持稳定，同时在资本市场和应用层持续扩展。

他认为，比特币基础层将更加稳固，资本市场继续深化，应用范围扩大，机构持续进入，更多经济活动将在比特币之上构建。

Saylor 将比特币定义为货币网络而非科技股、支付公司或功能快速迭代的软件平台，强调其核心目标是稳健运行而非快速变动。他还表示，比特币四年周期仍然重要，但不再是主导模型。

未来十年，其走势将更少受矿工发行影响，更多由 ETF、企业财库、主权储备、银行信贷、衍生品、保险、抵押品和全球储蓄等资本流驱动，减半负责收紧供应，资本流决定增长轨迹。

Saylor 称，未来十年的关键问题不再是比特币能否存续，而是经济敞口是否仍与真实比特币保持连接，还是形成过多“纸面比特币”。

他预计到 2036 年，比特币将被更广泛持有、机构化程度更深，并成为数字信贷市场的重要抵押资产。

Disclaimer: Contains third-party opinions, does not constitute financial advice

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