摩根大通坚定看好韩股:杠杆压力已获明显释放,维持超配评级

摩根大通坚定看好韩股:杠杆压力已获明显释放,维持超配评级

2026-07-21 11:10

ChainThink 消息,7 月 21 日,据摩根大通最新韩国股票策略报告,摩根大通维持韩国市场超配评级,12 个月 KOSPI 目标位仍为 12,500 点。

报告称,韩国市场基本面仍稳固,近期 KOSPI 大幅下跌主要由高杠杆资金出清、杠杆 ETF 被动减仓及基金仓位调整放大。

报告指出,KOSPI 已较 6 月 22 日高点下跌约 28%-29%。摩根大通认为,本轮调整更像拥挤交易去杠杆,而非韩国资产逻辑出现系统性逆转。

从去杠杆进度看,韩国相关杠杆 ETF 规模已从高点约 500 亿美元降至约 260 亿美元,去杠杆进度约 75%;

股票多空基金去杠杆完成超过一半,JPM Prime book 多空比率已从高点超过 5.5 倍降至低于 4 倍。

散户杠杆方面,韩国融资余额已从高点超过 250 亿美元降至约 210 亿美元,仅占股市总市值 0.5%。

外资流出方面,韩国年初至今外资流出已超过 1100 亿美元,其中约 90% 来自两只存储龙头,摩根大通称相关卖压已有所缓和。

Disclaimer: Contains third-party opinions, does not constitute financial advice

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