ChainThink 消息,7 月 23 日,据高盛交易台市场快评,本轮半导体反弹行情仍有望延续。
报告称,自 6 月中旬以来,对冲基金已回吐年初至今在全球半导体和半导体设备股票中累计净买入量约 80%,前期拥挤仓位明显清洗;过去一两日,资金重新开始买入,高盛认为该需求可能延续。
买盘主要集中在此前回调较大的存储和半导体设备方向。高盛交易台观察到,近期较明显的买入出现在存储股 STX、WDC、MU、SNDK,以及设备股 AMAT、ASML、LRCX。
仓位方面,全球半导体及半导体设备股票净配置占全球 Prime Book 比例年初约 10%,6 月升至约 24% 的历史高位,目前回落至约 19%,仍处于 1 年期 84 百分位、5 年期 97 百分位。
美国半导体及设备股票净配置年初约 7%,6 月升至约 14%,目前约 11%,对应 1 年期 79 百分位、5 年期 96 百分位。
高盛认为,半导体仓位尚未降至便宜区间,但快速去杠杆已完成大半。
后续需关注 Alphabet、Meta、Microsoft、Amazon 等云厂商 AI 资本开支,存储价格和订单对 Micron、SanDisk 等盈利预期的支撑,以及设备股订单能否验证 AI 数据中心扩张仍在推进。
Disclaimer: Contains third-party opinions, does not constitute financial advice
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