ChainThink 消息,7 月 30 日,据美银报告,AI 与半导体行业股票仍面临七项持续隐患,包括硬件交易拥挤、利好业绩难以推动股价、市场对 AI 实验室盈利前景存疑、Token 通缩影响利润、内存预期或需下调、信贷融资压力升温,以及板块调整可能受持仓和因子变化驱动。
报告称,TSM、ASML、INTC 等公司即使交出较好业绩,股价仍承压,盘中反弹也持续被卖出;超大规模厂商资本开支若降低,将影响 AI 供应商,若提高则可能压制自由现金流并引发融资担忧。
美银还表示,OpenAI、Anthropic 等 AI 实验室的支出已反映在供应商积压订单和财务数据中。
更便宜的 Token 可能加速应用采用,但也会压缩实验室利润,并推动硬件和电力优化,更多算力不必然意味着所有供应商利润同步增加。
报告认为,内存相关股票若仅依赖估值倍数下调,可能不足以反映风险;基于尚未修订预期看似便宜的股票,实际未必便宜。AI 与半导体板块后续价格走势或继续受到融资、ROI、开源模型和优化叙事影响。
Disclaimer: Contains third-party opinions, does not constitute financial advice
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