恐慌指数VIX跌至年内低点，标普500连获12周资金净流入，但机构密集警告秋季抛售风险加剧

恐慌指数VIX跌至年内低点，标普500连获12周资金净流入，但机构密集警告秋季抛售风险加剧

2026-08-17 22:23

ChainThink 消息，8 月 17 日，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数（VIX）回落至 14.2，创 2026 年以来低点；

同期标普 500 指数年内累计上涨约 16%，股票基金连续 12 周录得资金净流入，美股连续三周上涨并多次刷新历史高点。

BTIG 首席市场技术分析师 Jonathan Krinsky 表示，自去年 10 月以来，市场未出现下跌股成交量占比达 80% 的极端单日抛售行情，而历史均值为每年 21 次，且从未有年份少于 5 次。

Susquehanna 称当前波动率已出现“实质性”下降，但两个月期隐含波动率小幅回升至 13.5%。

IG 首席技术分析师 Axel Rudolph 指出，在中东局势和霍尔木兹海峡紧张持续的情况下，整体波动率仍在下滑；同时，7 月零售销售意外下降 0.6%，显示消费者财务压力上升。

华尔街机构普遍将 8 月中旬至 10 月中旬视为历史性市场动荡期。

BTIG 统计显示，自 1990 年以来，每个中期选举年等权重标普 500 指数均从 8 月 18 日附近平均高点至 10 月中旬至少回撤 7%。

Krinsky 建议投资者削减风险敞口或对宽基股票头寸进行对冲。

Disclaimer: Contains third-party opinions, does not constitute financial advice

Recommended Reading

NVIDIA attracts $85 billion in investor demand during massive bond issuance

06-16
NVIDIA attracts $85 billion in investor demand during massive bond issuance

Ethereum surges over 10% in 24 hours, currently priced at $1,841.31

06-16
Ethereum surges over 10% in 24 hours, currently priced at $1,841.31

Amazon announces a multi-billion dollar investment in Missouri to build a data center campus, expected to create over 400 long-term positions

06-16
Amazon announces a multi-billion dollar investment in Missouri to build a data center campus, expected to create over 400 long-term positions

Binance Platform's SpaceX Perpetual Contract Trading Volume Surpasses $9 Billion, Capturing Over 60% Market Share

06-16
Binance Platform's SpaceX Perpetual Contract Trading Volume Surpasses $9 Billion, Capturing Over 60% Market Share

Binance platform XLM/USDT short-term spike down to $0.17, now recovered to $0.225

06-16
Binance platform XLM/USDT short-term spike down to $0.17, now recovered to $0.225

Trump: The Strait of Hormuz has been fully reopened as of Friday, and all agreements have been signed

06-16
Trump: The Strait of Hormuz has been fully reopened as of Friday, and all agreements have been signed

SlowMist: Aztec Connect Contract Hacked for $2.19 Million Due to ZK-Rollup L1/L2 State Boundary Vulnerability

06-15
SlowMist: Aztec Connect Contract Hacked for $2.19 Million Due to ZK-Rollup L1/L2 State Boundary Vulnerability