8 月 24 日,据 QCP 报告,BTC 上周涨超 20%,周五一度升至约 7.95 万美元,创 2024 年 3 月以来最强单周表现。
本轮上涨最初由大规模空头回补推动,随后现货市场需求进一步扩大。美国现货 BTC 与 ETH ETF 上周合计净流入约 26 亿美元,为 2025 年 10 月以来最高。
其中 BTC ETF 净流入约 19.2 亿美元,ETH ETF 净流入约 6.97 亿美元,扭转前一周约 3.92 亿美元的净流出。
宏观方面,美国 30 年期国债收益率一度逼近 5.3%,升至 2007 年以来高位,联邦债务总额突破 40 万亿美元。
美国财政部随后宣布将 10 至 20 年期及 20 至 30 年期国债的流动性支持回购规模由每次最高 20 亿美元提高至至少 40 亿美元,执行期为 9 月 9 日至 11 月 4 日。
消息公布后长期美债收益率回落、美元走弱,BTC 与黄金上涨。QCP 强调,此类回购属债务管理操作,并非量化宽松。
本周市场将重点关注美国 PCE 通胀数据、Nvidia 财报及美联储主席 Kevin Warsh 在 Jackson Hole 年会上的讲话。
Disclaimer: Contains third-party opinions, does not constitute financial advice
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