Probability of the Federal Reserve holding rates steady in September rises to 58.6%

Probability of the Federal Reserve holding rates steady in September rises to 58.6%

2026-08-25 06:11

ChainThink report, August 25: According to CME "Fed Watch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve holding rates steady at the September meeting has risen to 58.6%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike stands at 41.4%.

For the October meeting, the market's expectation of holding rates unchanged has declined to 43.0%, with the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike at 46.0%, and a 11.0% chance of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike.

This data reflects the market's interest rate pricing for the next two FOMC meetings.

Disclaimer: Contains third-party opinions, does not constitute financial advice

Recommended Reading

Anthropic Revenue Explodes—Why Is the AI Market Still Diving?

7 days ago
Anthropic Revenue Explodes—Why Is the AI Market Still Diving?

Deepseek Server Down for Nearly 4 Hours with No Recovery Yet

7 days ago
Deepseek Server Down for Nearly 4 Hours with No Recovery Yet

Vitalik: The zkEVM Speed Race Is Over, the Primary Focus Should Now Fully Shift to Security

7 days ago
Vitalik: The zkEVM Speed Race Is Over, the Primary Focus Should Now Fully Shift to Security

Analyst: Market swing holders are gradually being cleared out, but panic has not yet been fully released.

7 days ago
Analyst: Market swing holders are gradually being cleared out, but panic has not yet been fully released.

South Two Times Long Hynix Drops 22.04%, Two Times Samsung Drops 19.72%

7 days ago
South Two Times Long Hynix Drops 22.04%, Two Times Samsung Drops 19.72%

U.S. SEC Approves Cboe Listing of Binary Options Tied to Key Performance Indicators of Companies

7 days ago
U.S. SEC Approves Cboe Listing of Binary Options Tied to Key Performance Indicators of Companies

LITE longs suffer $7.35M liquidation, four other whales also wiped out on overnight US stock positions

7 days ago
LITE longs suffer $7.35M liquidation, four other whales also wiped out on overnight US stock positions