ChainThink 消息,8 月 27 日,据 Glassnode 最新周度链上报告,比特币自 8 月中旬低点以来已反弹 26%,创纪录的单日空头清算成为本轮上涨导火索,随后 ETF 资金流入、交易平台余额下降及多规模钱包持续增持为反弹提供支撑。
报告指出,8 月 19 日录得自 2019 年以来最大单日空头清算规模,本轮上涨中 85% 的清算来自空头,行情已消化沿途 86% 的模型化清算流动性。
上方仍有大量空头清算仓位集中在 8.2 万至 8.6 万美元区域,下方则有 6.05 万至 6.24 万美元的多头清算区域。
美国现货比特币 ETF 在此期间累计净流入 22.3 亿美元,连续 7 天无资金流出,为今年最强 7 日资金流入。
期货未平仓合约规模(币本位)下降 11%,永续合约资金费率基本中性,表明上涨并非由新增杠杆多头推动。
从链上供应结构看,8.3 万至 8.6 万美元为当前最关键的阻力区域,该区域集中了长期持有者供应、做市商 Gamma 转负位置及大量空头清算仓位。
下方 7 万美元为短期持有者成本基础,6.2 万至 6.5 万美元为 6 月至 8 月筑底形成的成本基础区域。
期权市场隐含结果中间 70% 区间约为 6.9 万至 8.97 万美元,中位数与当前价格接近,市场倾向震荡而非突破。
Disclaimer: Contains third-party opinions, does not constitute financial advice
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