分析：比特币可能正从4年周期转向6至8年周期

分析：比特币可能正从4年周期转向6至8年周期

2026-09-03 16:19

ChainThink 消息，9 月 3 日，链上分析师 Willy Woo 在 X 平台发文表示，比特币可能正从 4 年周期逐步转向 6 至 8 年周期。

Woo 指出，比特币过去受减半机制影响形成较为规律的 4 年周期，但减半带来的新增供应冲击正在减弱。目前 BTC 年新增供应约占总供应量的 0.8%，未来将进一步降至 0.4%。

与此同时，传统金融市场的短期债务周期通常为 6 至 8 年，当前或正处于这一周期结构变化的过渡阶段。

Disclaimer: Contains third-party opinions, does not constitute financial advice

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